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IT’S NOT OVER – HERE’S WHY (NO NUMBERS NEEDED)
Eugene Linden
THE U.S. CONSUMER IS STILL DROWNING IN DEBT:
Job prospects are dire. Households can’t pay existing debt, much less get credit.
IT WILL GET WORSE:
Alt- A/Option Arm resets are just hitting. Commercial Real Estate defaults loom.
Before consumer spe...
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Winds of Change Buy from Amazon
more info Afterword to the softbound edition.
endangered animals
rapid climate change
global deforestation
fragging
  
The Octopus and the Orangutan
more info

The Future In Plain Sight
more info

The Parrot's Lament
more info

Silent Partners
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Affluence and Discontent
more info

The Alms Race
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Apes, Men, & Language
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This web site contains links to Eugene Linden's essays, articles and books on a wide range of topics ranging from environment to social and economic issues. There are articles on the science and dynamics of climate change and the possible social, economic, and environmental effects of global warming ( including some of the first national articles on rapid climate change). Other environmental articles deal with endangered animals, the biodiversity crisis, threats to water supplies, global deforestation, and the politics of environment. The site also contains links to Linden's writings on social issues ranging from the plight of indigenous peoples to dynamics of financial markets. Some writings look forward offering future predictions about how such factors as the wage gap, population pressures, migration, and the rise of religious fanaticism might bring increased instability and drastic change.
-- Eugene Linden
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Climate has been humanity’s constant, if moody, companion. By times benefactor or tormentor, climate nurtured the first stirrings of civilization, and then repeatedly visited ruin on empires and peoples. Winds of Change reveals a recurring pattern in which civilizations become prosperous and complacent during good weather, only to collapse when climate changes, either through direct effects of climate such as floods or drought, or indirect consequences such as disease, blights, and disorder.
The science of climate change is still young, and the subtle interactions of climate with other historical forces remain controversial, but there is mounting evidence that climate has loomed over the fate of societies from arctic Greenland to the Fertile Crescent, and from the lost cities of the Mayans in Central America to the rainforests of Central Africa. Acknowledging the uncertainties in both climate science and the historical record, Linden uses the conceit of a courtroom trial to explore the evidence of whether climate has been a serial killer of civilizations. The book then looks at the present and future to explore whether this accused killer is active today, and what it might do in the future.
Winds of Change places the horrifying carnage unleashed on New Orleans, Mississippi and Alabama by hurricane Katrina in this context. The tragedy of New Orleans is but the latest instance in which a region prepared for weather disasters experienced in the past, finds itself helpless when nature ups the ante. In the closing chapters, Linden explores why warnings about the dangers of climate change have thus far gone unheeded, what is happening with climate today, and offers perhaps the most explicit and evocative look yet at what a haywire climate might do to society and the economy. Using examples taken from the recent past, Linden shows how even a society prepared to absorb such threshold-crossing events as Katrina, the killer heatwave in Europe in 2003, or the floods in the American Midwest in the 1990s, might spiral into precipitous decline should such events intensify and become more frequent.
In The Future in Plain Sight Linden chose climate change as one driver that might unwind the unusual stability of the post World War II era. Winds of Change places that force for instability in the context of history, and, with the weather changing at an accelerating and ominous pace, warns that we must learn from the past to avoid the coming catastrophe.
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